Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 93.828515 103.802035 113.968156 125.080833 136.861469 148.954125 162.281156
2026-01-11 78.725351 93.619995 109.469158 127.482247 147.281779 168.282879 192.143562
2026-01-18 66.825013 85.189454 105.535011 129.481173 156.636409 186.235433 220.699603
2026-01-25 53.187322 73.110745 96.144301 124.230426 157.063923 193.784444 237.513266
2026-02-01 43.424687 64.319163 89.489384 121.201539 159.293829 202.855146 255.725172
2026-02-08 36.427147 58.018502 85.061627 120.163473 163.348315 213.686969 275.765868
2026-02-15 31.619367 53.910042 82.842149 121.395353 169.809084 227.154779 298.810483
2026-02-22 28.756156 52.038868 83.194411 125.624078 179.797191 244.786952 326.833721
2026-03-01 25.491063 49.191501 81.943015 127.551650 186.759821 258.686820 350.404836
2026-03-08 21.817181 45.285340 78.892224 126.824799 190.144465 268.068105 368.450482
2026-03-15 19.449610 43.073079 77.964368 128.740329 196.786402 281.409885 391.316975
2026-03-22 17.958266 42.070312 78.630756 132.729339 206.079847 298.071947 418.327918
2026-03-29 16.053851 40.206881 77.964846 134.900181 213.108369 312.107157 442.443616
2026-04-05 14.623734 38.986325 78.149978 138.206604 221.648380 328.124117 469.160329
2026-04-12 13.168433 37.530241 77.851294 140.751407 229.148895 342.850903 494.363949
2026-04-19 10.306975 32.959129 72.321401 135.449079 225.785816 343.435831 501.667210
2026-04-26 8.278638 29.635318 68.487597 132.377225 225.276480 347.577980 513.378287
2026-05-03 6.864479 27.326810 66.130219 131.350271 227.488103 355.211437 529.515460
2026-05-10 5.969842 26.023842 65.378768 132.693676 232.990701 367.186728 551.264402
2026-05-17 5.582352 25.889716 66.659193 137.190286 243.004878 385.221996 580.934733
2026-05-24 4.931351 24.950385 66.412397 139.241466 249.503479 398.577231 604.595964
2026-05-31 4.049660 23.164406 64.464033 138.479641 251.872476 406.350725 620.997155
2026-06-07 3.554556 22.356413 64.278639 140.509224 258.284310 419.596999 644.592375